A 4chan trader who predicted Bitcoin’s peak made a new 2026 call
An anonymous poster on 4chan who correctly predicted the peak of Bitcoin's cycle on October 6, 2025, nearly two years ago, is back with an even more aggressive call. The trader predicts that Bitcoin will reach $250,000 by 2026.
The forecast has resurfaced in crypto circles as the chain and technical indicators turn bearish.
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A confirmed call, not a price target.
In December 2023, an anonymous poster outlined a cyclical model based on time rather than price forecasts. The thesis is based on historical symmetry. Approximately 1,064 days from a bear market low to a cyclical high, followed by a decline of approximately 364 days.
That structure took the next all-time high to land on October 6, 2025, almost exactly when Bitcoin peaked 4 days before it happened.
That accuracy gave the new forecast weight even amid doubts.
In the last article, Anon argues that the wider structure is not broken.
Instead, the current decline represents a reset phase ahead of another expansion leg, with 2026 penciled in as the next price rally.
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Most Bitcoin charts look bearish at the moment.
Short-term data tells a very different story.
The Bitcoin Composite Market Index (BCMI) rolled back from higher levels, historically associated with late-cycle conditions.
Momentum indicators weakened, and price struggled to regain key psychological zones after the October peak.
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Meanwhile, apparent demand growth, measured by net new buyer activity, has slowed sharply since early 2025. A similar slowdown in demand preceded major corrections in previous cycles, including 2021 and 2017.
From a traditional analytical lens, these signs point to caution.
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Why is the beef issue not gone?
Anonymous Forecast challenges the idea that local bearish signals define the entire cycle. Previous bull markets have seen several months of corrections and corrections in demand before making a final parabolic move.
The structural tailwind remains intact. Bitcoin supply growth continues to increase after halving. Institutional infrastructure, from ETFs to payment rails, remains embedded even as speculative demand slows.
Historically, the strongest reversals have been followed by skepticism, not optimism.
The $250,000 2026 target is not framed as sentiment or opinion, but as a continuation of the previous cycle's mechanics.
Whether the call was right or wrong, the episode reflects a common practice in the Bitcoin markets. Short-term indicators often change well before long-term cycles end.
For now, the price of Bitcoin is sitting in an uncomfortable middle ground.
