As the conflict in Iran escalates, the price of Bitcoin has fallen below 66 thousand dollars: what to expect

Bitcoin Trading Chart Goes Down


Bitcoin drops below $66k as Middle East tensions add to volatility. ETF flows of $6.39 billion indicate that institutional demand for crypto has weakened. BTC fluctuates between $63K–65K; Dealers look at the support and pricing policy.

Bitcoin (BTC) slipped below the $66,000 mark as global markets responded to rising tensions in the Middle East.

The escalating conflict between Iran, the US and Israel has created a wave of uncertainty affecting risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.

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Bitcoin is showing significant intraday swings especially in response to news developments.

In early trading, BTC fell to $63,000 before rebounding to $65,000.

This volatility reflects a mix of geopolitical fears and active liquidity in the derivatives market, where more than $130 million in long positions are being forced to close and highlight downward pressure on the cryptocurrency.

The US, Israel, Iran war has sent shock waves through the markets.

The current situation in the Middle East has made investors nervous.

Traditionally, Bitcoin has sometimes been seen as a hedge during global crises, but its recent behavior shows that it functions more as a risk asset.

Notably, the price of Bitcoin is moving more closely with stocks, especially major stock indexes, rather than staying in turbulent times.

But gold and oil saw upward moves, with oil prices rising amid expectations of supply cuts.

Gold prices also rose modestly, indicating a traditional safe haven.

These shifts indicate that money is flowing away from riskier assets like Bitcoin and into instruments known to be more stable during times of geopolitical tension.

Long-term BTC holders, however, are showing resilience.

After the initial sell-off, many investors took the opportunity to buy lower levels, which partially contributed to the recovery.

This has prevented Bitcoin from falling as sharply as other risk assets, which still shows significant support around $65,000.

Institutional demand will weaken

US-listed spot bitcoin and ether exchange-traded funds have recorded steady inflows over the past four months, reflecting a sharp cooling in institutional participation in digital assets.

Investors pulled $6.39 billion from bitcoin ETFs during the period, the longest continuous monthly decline since the products launched in January 2024, according to SoSoValue data.

Ether ETFs saw $2.76 billion in spending.

The retreat coincided with a sharp drop in the token's price, with bitcoin falling above $126,000 in early October and Ether falling more than 60% from near $4,950 in August.

Spot ETFs have served as a visible channel for institutional income since the initial period and following pro-crypto political developments in 2024.

However, demand has weakened since the October market crash, which is said to be related to the price deficit on offshore exchange Binance.

Although recent sessions have seen interrupted inflows, analysts say a sustained return of capital is needed for a sustained recovery.

What does this mean for the future of Bitcoin?

Traders should expect more volatility in the short-term as Bitcoin continues to attract headlines, and any further escalation in the Middle East could trigger further sharp moves.

Traders should closely monitor the technical support level near $63,000, while resistance around $68,000 to $70,000 remains a key target for recovery.

Also, in addition to the Middle East war, monetary policy may play a role in future BTC price movements.

If central banks respond to the conflict with interest rate adjustments or liquidity measures, Bitcoin may indirectly benefit.

Historical trends show that geopolitical crises and devaluations or financial crises often favor riskier assets, and cryptocurrencies are no exception.

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