Bitcoin will be less volatile than Nvidia in 2026: Bitwise
Bitcoin's volatility appears to be slowing, with its moves in 2025 being more overbought than Nvidia (NVDA), indicating that its investor base is fragmenting.
Bitwise said on Wednesday that Bitcoin (BTC) will remain less volatile than Bitcoin in 2026. “Bitcoin's volatility has gradually decreased over the past decade.”
He added that the investors are “simplifying” the asset as the investor base is diversified due to the introduction of institutional investment products.
“This change reflects Bitcoin as an investment and the diversity of its investor base thanks to traditional investment vehicles.”
Nvidia Will Be More Volatile Than Bitcoin By 2026
Bitcoin has seen a 68% price change this year from its lowest point, when it fell to $75,000 in April, before falling to its highest level, which was a peak of $126,000 in early October.
In comparison, NVD has seen a 120% volatility in price from a low of $94 in early April to a 2025 high of $207 in late October.
Shares in the chip giant have also outperformed bitcoin this year, rising as much as 27 percent year-to-date. Bitcoin, meanwhile, fell 8% earlier this year as crypto markets pulled out of stocks.
Bitwise bets on a new all-time high
Bitwise also made several predictions for the year ahead, including a new all-time high for Bitcoin and a four-year cycle break.
“Forces such as the Bitcoin halving, the interest rate cycle, and leverage-driven crypto booms and busts are weaker than in previous cycles,” he said.
Related: Bitcoin to emerge from stocks in second half of 2025
He predicted that traditional institutions such as Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, and Merrill Lynch would enter crypto, that classification would increase to identify currencies traded on crypto exchanges, and that onchain construction would accelerate by 2026.
Finally, the pro-crypto regulatory shift will continue to allow companies to adopt crypto more quickly, Bitwise said. He also predicted that crypto equities would outperform tech stocks.
“Tech stocks are up 140% in the last three years, but crypto stocks are doing even better.”
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