BOJ Raises Interest Rates to 0.75% – Why Bitcoin Doesn’t Respond Easily

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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy interest rate by 25 basis points to 0.75 percent on December 19. It marked its highest level in nearly 30 years and the country gradually stepped away from easy monetary policy.

Yet despite warnings of a historic reversal and a global liquidity squeeze, Bitcoin showed little reaction, rising less than 1% and holding the $87,000 range.

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BOJ Raises Interest Rates Another 25 Basis Points – Why Is Bitcoin Holding Up?

The muted response is the opposite of history. Previous BOJ tightening cycles have often coincided with sell-offs in crypto markets, particularly as the yen trades lower and global liquidity tightens.

This time, however, traders appeared unfazed, suggesting that the move was fully priced ahead of the announcement. Market participants had highly anticipated the decision.

BOJ Interest Rate Probabilities. Source: Polymarket

Japan's rate hike represents a symbolic break from decades of near-zero interest rates that have made the yen a cornerstone of global financial markets. A cheap yen will fuel borrowing in stocks, bonds and cryptocurrencies.

As Japanese production rises and the gap with global prices narrows, businesses become less attractive, forcing investors to shed risk positions. Still, Bitcoin's steady reaction suggests markets are set.

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Bitcoin (Btc) Price Performance
Bitcoin (BTC) price performance. Source: BeInCrypto

But according to analysts, the focus was never the walk, but what came next.

Analyst Marty Partey said: “Japan's policy rate will be the highest in 30 years at a certain 25 basis point increase. While the hike itself is largely expected, the main focus during the press conference will be on Governor Ueda's future guidance.”

Future guidance can be critical. The BOJ has indicated that it is ready to raise the rate further to 1% or more by the end of 2026, depending on wage growth and sustained inflation.

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The BOJ's policy rate was raised to 0.75% from 0% in December 2025. Source: Wise Advice by X

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Even if the first step fails to trigger volatility, that outlook will put pressure on riskier assets.

Altcoins are holding steady while Bitcoin is experiencing a prolonged liquidity squeeze

Analysts argue that it could be a sign of Bitcoin's resilience. BlueBlock pointed out historical patterns, noting differences from past responses.

“The BOJ has just hiked to 0.75%, ending decades of policy and narrowing the gap with global yields. History shows that each early tightening has seen Bitcoin drop 20-30% as yen trade unwinds and liquidity tightens. However, with the price fully sold and BTC close to $85k, buyers may be waiting for $8k,” he wrote.

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However, not all corners of the crypto market are expected to be protected as well. If the Japanese squeeze accelerates, Altcoins, which are typically more sensitive to liquidity changes, will be at risk.

In the year Higher rates in 2026 suggest a longer headwind rather than a one-time shock.

Boj'S December 2025 Policy Decision Raises Rates To 0.75% On Further Tightening Guidance
The BOJ's December 2025 policy decision raised the rate to 0.75% for further tightening. Source: Money Ape on X

“BOJ signals readiness to hike 1% or more by end of 2026, depending on wage growth and sustained inflation. NO MARY FOR ALTCOINS,” opined Money Ape.

Bitcoin's stability reflects the market having had enough time to prepare for the BOJ's decision. Whether resilience remains will depend on December's hike and how aggressively Japan continues its tightening path. It also focuses on how global liquidity fits into the end of one of the longest-running financial backlogs.



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