BTC price trading on December 31, 2025, could ETF earnings reverse the trend?
Crypto writer
Arslan Butt
Crypto writer
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Bitcoin is trading near $88,700 on December 31, 2025, as the declining momentum meets steady institutional demand. With Bitcoin ETF assets holding more than $116 billion, traders are watching to see if renewed inflows can break the current consolidation and determine the first move of 2026.
Why is Bitcoin trading sideways near $88,700 today?
Bitcoin is wrapping up 2025 in somewhat of a holding pattern, hovering around $88,700 unable to build on any momentum after a wild last quarter. BTC is stable at around $1.77 trillion and the 24-hour trading volume has returned to around $33.9 billion, which is a sign that people are still participating, a little more cautiously.
Looking at price action over the past two weeks, buyers are determined to capture the $87,900-$88,000 zone. On the other hand, the pace isn't just to push past $90,000. As a result, the market is stuck in a pretty narrow range at the end of the year.
Spot Bitcoin ETF Earnings Can BTC Momentum Reset in 2026?
The spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to play a significant role in supporting the market. According to data from CoinGlass, the total volume of the new currency is now around 612,000 BTC, with total assets now sitting at a staggering $116.5 billion.
Trading volume as of December 31 was pretty flat, but not insignificant at $4.21 billion—which shows that institutions are still interested, even if they're not as excited as they used to be.
This is because the demand for ETFs has changed the behavior of Bitcoin. Rather than sharp weaknesses, pullbacks are met with increasing absorption. Even during the muted period, BTC struggled to break below medium-term support, reinforcing the idea that institutional capital is easing volatility.
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Technically, it seems like a wait-and-see situation
Looking at the technical analysis, the Bitcoin price forecast appears to be neutral, BTC is still stuck in the balanced triangle, the high and low prices are increasing between $92,200 and $87,700. The 50-day and 100-day EMAs on the 2-hour chart are stuck to each other, indicating that market participants are not entirely sure what is going on. Meanwhile, the price will continue to decline around the $88,000 pivot zone.
The momentum indicators also suggest that Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase rather than a complete collapse. At the same time, the RSI is hovering around 50, neither overbought nor oversold, which means that the market is in a balanced state.
Finally, candlestick patterns, such as spiral tops and long wicks everywhere, definitely mean that a two-way trade is taking place.
BTC Price Outlook: Blitz or Extended Consolidation Ahead?
If we break above $90,000, the next stop will probably be $92,200, then $94,000. But if we fail to hold $87,700, the next stop could be $86,700 – although it's worth noting that ETFs are taking that low pressure.
In this kind of environment, it's hard to see Bitcoin as anything other than quietly building up a bit of tension.
In the year The fact that people are still buying ETFs as we head into 2026, the reduced supply of coins on the market, and the volume of funds suggest that this consolidation phase is a prelude to something more than the end of the road.
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