In the year The probability of Bitcoin surpassing gold by 2026 has risen to 59% by Polymarket.
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Bitcoin has a 59% chance of surpassing gold by 2026 on Polymarket, underscoring the growing confidence among traders. Polymarket is a blockchain-powered prediction platform that allows users to bet on the outcomes of various real-world events.
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The probability that Bitcoin will surpass gold by 2026 has risen to 59% on Polymarket, following the crypto's return above $90,000 to start the year.
Bitcoin in 2010 Down about 6% in 2025, not so good gold, which is up more than 65%, has become the top asset of the year by TradingView.
While the digital asset saw a strong start, it faced significant volatility, peaking at $126,000 in early October before a lack of fresh catalysts and volatile demand led to a year-end downward pullback.
The rising odds on prediction markets reflect growing trader confidence in Bitcoin's ability to deliver stronger returns than the common precious metal this year.
Among some analysts, recent expectations are becoming more limited.
Jurien Timmer of Fidelity Investments believes Bitcoin has completed its half-cycle bull phase and could enter a period of consolidation in 2026. The strategist thinks prices could return to the $65,000-$70,000 range, while still looking at the long term.
