Physics now shows a $93K mining floor
Crypto journalist
Anas Hasan
Crypto journalist
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The physics behind Bitcoin's price shows that full-cycle costs (capex + downtime + taxes) at 8.6¢ kWh, currently sitting at $93,000, show the mining energy floor where miners can break even at $96,000.
Today's Bitcoin price forecast shows that if Hashrate stops accelerating, a breakdown of the “growth floor” could push the price above $100,000.
Miners who survive on cash flow, bleed for a long time
According to an analysis shared by renewable energy engineer David, Bitcoin miners survive on cash flows but are losing money over the full cycle.
Ineffective braces (cost >$90,000) are now underwater. However, these miners do not leave; They bleed until the network recovers.
“Bitcoin can trade below the energy floor for a short period of time. It cannot stay there,” David explained.
David added that everyone looks at the value of Bitcoin, but almost no one looks at the underlying machine.
“Bitcoin isn't stuck, it's being compressed,” he said
“Desire is winning the war right now, but it's winning every battle.” $1.2 billion has flowed into the spot ETF this week, and prices have moved sideways. “That's not failure, that's absorption.”
Currently, the $90,000 level represents a hedge. Bitcoin miners are long gamma out there, selling when the price rises, buying when it falls.
“They're not betting against Bitcoin. They're hedging their books.”
Each buy meets the hedge sell, each dip is bought back, and this reinforces the range and ultimately destroys volatility.
Squeezing doesn't kill desire because it's energy; It stores.
Currently, the coin is moving from weak hands to strong hands with a stable price.
According to David, the price will be squeezed into a tight range of 93,000-$96,000 as volatility is subdued. The main defense wall is set at $100,000.
When it fades and the demand returns, the price does not rise; It will boot up and reboot.
“This is a very dangerous time,” said the Stanford engineer.
The market is connected by traders, and the stock goes up once a narrow range is broken.
Value is not solved by force; When the shutter is weakened, it moves.
At the beginning of the year, the price of Bitcoin reached 91,300 dollars with 100% hedge strength.
By the end of January, the hedge is expected to fall to about 43%.
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Daily chart shows base formation above $80k
Based on well-defined technical levels, the 1-day Bitcoin chart shows price stability after a major correction.
Bitcoin is trading below the $100,000 psychological barrier, acting as a compression zone, while the $93,000 mining energy floor has turned from support to long-term resistance.
EMAs (20, 50, 100-day moving averages) continue to decline, reinforcing the corrective trend that started after the failed push above $120,000.
However, the reduction potential is reduced. The price formed a base above recent lows around the mid-$80,000s, and the RSI recovered above 50, indicating a shift from bearish to neutral-to-mild bullish conditions.
This shows that sales pressure is decreasing.
If Bitcoin holds above $93,000, the next test is set at $100,000, with a clean break opening the way to $109,000.
Bitcoin Hyper Presale Set at $100K Rally
Prediction market traders place over 80% odds of Bitcoin hitting $100,000 in 2026, which could benefit BTC-beta projects like Bitcoin Hyper.
Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) develops the first functional Bitcoin Layer 2 using Solana-based technology for speed and scalability while maintaining Bitcoin security.
The project has raised more than $30 million to enable Bitcoin-native dApps, which provide opportunities for BTC holders to efficiently deploy their assets using on-chain tools built for the Bitcoin ecosystem.
To get $HYPER before the next price increase, visit the official Bitcoin Hyper website and link your wallet (like Best Wallet).
You can exchange USDT or SOL at the presale price of $0.013555 or use a bank card for direct purchases.
Visit the official Bitcoin Hyper website here
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