Solana Price Prediction: Is SOL Extending Fall to $100?
Solana (SOL) price traded at $122 on December 24, 2025. Fresh losses pushed SOL to the critical $120 mark. Declining investor confidence and macroeconomic headwinds mean altcoins are at risk of further declines.
Solana extended its decline in the final weeks of 2025, dropping below the $130 mark and testing levels around $120.
On Wednesday, prices fell to these lows on major exchanges, and further declines would allow the bears to test the recent lows of $116.
The $120 zone has served as temporary support throughout the year.
But as this decline coincides with a broader cryptocurrency market recovery from reduced liquidity and profit-taking, SOL looks set for more pain.
Last year, Solana underperformed both Bitcoin and Ethereum, with SOL down 38% over the period, compared to 11% and 16% for BTC and ETH.
Solana Price Prediction: Is $100 Next?
Technical analysis suggests that Solana is facing a critical period.
Charts show evidence of a bearish breakout that could push prices to $100 or below in the near term.
The main concern is SOL's position relative to the 50-day moving average (EMA), which is currently estimated at $160-$165 based on recent data.
As the 50-day EMA has acted as volatile resistance in recent months, a price trading below this level will signal short-term volatility and reinforce a downtrend.
Further supporting the bearish view are momentum indicators.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers in the low 30s to high 30s on both the daily and weekly time frames, approaching oversold territory but not yet signaling a definitive reversal.
In technical analysis, this suggests room for further downside before exhaustion occurs.
Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram shows negative values, with the MACD line below the signal line, confirming weak bullish momentum and continued selling dominance.
Chart designs add to the cautionary narrative.
Solana is testing neckline support around $120 on a weekly basis. A critical break below could accelerate declines to deeper supports in the $100-$90 range.
What did she say to Solana?
Despite these challenges, the fundamentals of the Solana ecosystem remain strong.
The network has maintained its reputation for high revenue and low fees, handling billions of transactions by 2025.
Institutional developments, including the launch of US spot sole ETFs and integration with traditional financial platforms, have provided some balance.
Solana spot ETFs recorded gains on December 23rd, even as Bitcoin and Ethereum continued to see outflows.
While the volume was modest compared to the beginning of the month, cumulative net income reached more than $754 million. That's it for SOL.
However, if institutional interest shakes further, short-term technical indicators will align with the broader downtrend.
