The 7 strangest political betting pools on Polymarket

The political instability in the US has led to interest in decentralized forecasting platforms PolymarketBetting by users Hundreds of millions of dollars On the results of the presidential election held in November.

Polymarket allows anyone to create a market to record the results of any event. With the election less than 90 days away, the political betting pools are increasing. In July, activity on the platform saw nearly 40,000 traders place over $300 million worth of bets on all types of pools.

Most of the money allocated to Polymarket pools has gone to high-profile bets—like who will be the next US president—while other investors have taken a more unconventional approach.

Indeed, pools have sprung up to cover many unusual political situations. These are some of the most curious political betting pools on Polymarket right now—some of which are real head-scratchers.

Will Harris' Campaign Accept Crypto Donations This Month?

As of this writing, users have deposited more than $53,000 Kamala Harris campaign accepts crypto donations until September.

For crypto enthusiasts, the current outlook on Polymarket does not look promising, with the pool giving only a 14% chance that this result will pass sometime in August.

Note that to resolve to a “yes” result, the campaign only needs to announce its intention to receive crypto donations in August, and not implement a donation mechanism.

Will Trump start a coin before the election?

Polymarket users placed bets Donald Trump starts cryptocurrency Before the election. If there is “conclusive, conclusive evidence” that Trump was involved in the launch of a new token by the end of November 4, the result will be “yes.”

More than $263,000 is currently on the table for this bet, although the pool offers a 19% chance of winning—after Trump's sons Eric and Donald Trump Jr. teased that they are working on a “big” crypto project.

Will Trump go to jail before Election Day?

If Trump spends at least 48 consecutive hours Stay in jail or prison Before the election in November, “yes” voters in this pool will win a payout. This pool has been implemented since January and the “yes” vote has risen to 25%, although they are currently only 5%. More than $1.4 million was exposed on this outcome.

Will Trump be president on September 1st?

One of the most tame political pools of all is the status quo. Trump will be president before September 1 This year.

This date is ahead of both the election and the upcoming January inauguration, so in theory Trump would become Speaker of the House and succeed both President Biden and Vice President Harris next month. Perhaps unsurprisingly, this outcome was achieved in only 2%, and now has a 0% chance.

2024 Covid Lab Leak Confirmed In America?

Some of the unusual political pools at Polymarket don't revolve around the upcoming election. An example is a pool that currently represents $276,000 in total bets, will the US government confirm that first? The Covid-19 virus originated in a laboratory.. On this article, the odds of a “yes” result are only 8%.

Will the US verify the presence of foreigners in 2024?

Conspiracy theorists may prefer to focus on another wild polymarket pool, in which case they doubt whether the US government will confirm that. Is there extraterrestrial life or technology? Before the end of the year. About $115,000 rests on this outcome, although at 4%, it has the same odds as Trump spending two days in jail before Election Day.

Will a New Country Buy Bitcoin in 2024?

He asks if there is another pool that is especially relevant to crypto enthusiasts Buy Bitcoin for the first time This year. Any sovereign UN member state that has not previously announced the purchase of Bitcoin has the potential to ensure a “yes” result by issuing such an announcement. More than $73,000 is riding on this outcome, which currently has a 39% chance of happening, according to Polymarket.

Edited by Ryan Ozawa