Why Top Financial Analyst Says Bitcoin and AI Claims Are Overhyped

Bitcoin and Artificial Intelligence Are Overhyped, Says Financial Analyst Gary Shilling


Respected market analyst Gary Schilling raised eyebrows with his bold claims about Bitcoin and Artificial Intelligence (AI).

With decades of experience in financial analysis, Schilling suggests that the enthusiasm surrounding Bitcoin and AI may be misplaced, describing both as “overhyped.”

Why Gary Schilling takes a skeptical position on Bitcoin

Schilling's criticism comes as bitcoin continues to capture the imagination of investors around the world. Despite the crypto asset's impressive performance and the recent launch of bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which now buy more than 656,000 BTC worth more than $28.8 billion, the prominent market analyst remains skeptical.

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He called the enthusiasm around Bitcoin “overrated” and criticized the cryptocurrency as having “zero substance” and its use in illegal transactions.

This skepticism contrasts with Bitcoin's growing institutional interest and growing adoption as a legitimate financial asset. The decentralized nature of the digital currency has challenged traditional financial systems and has emerged as a preferred asset amid global uncertainty. It commands a significant 40% market share over traditional safe havens like gold.

Moreover, Bitcoin's impressive average annual return of 44% over the past seven years outstrips the return of other major assets. Despite its notorious volatility, historical data suggests that Bitcoin's minimum five-year investment horizon has consistently yielded returns.

Read more: Bitcoin price prediction for 2024/2025/2030

Annual returns in major asset classes. Source: ARK Invest

On the AI ​​front, Schilling doubted the technology's transformative potential. It calls into question the value of deploying massive computing power to sift through vast data sets in search of patterns. His skepticism comes amid soaring stock prices in tech giants such as Nvidia and Microsoft, fueled by widespread optimism that AI will boost productivity and accelerate economic growth.

He also predicted that the shilling could drop 30% in the S&P 500 to unprecedented levels in three years. Adding to the bleak outlook is his cautionary stance on the US economy, which he believes is headed for recession later in the year.

“When people focus on a very narrow segment of the stock market, they're saying the rest of the stock market isn't interested and is probably in trouble,” Schilling said.

Read more: AI Stocks: The Best Artificial Intelligence Companies to Know in 2024

Still, it's important to note that Schilling's skeptical stance on markets is often misplaced. Financial markets and the broader economy have shown stability, often better than earlier warnings of a recession.

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