XRP Breaks 3-Month Downtrend, Eyes $5+

The seven-year $2.00 resistance was finally broken.

According to crypto analyst Steph, since 2017, the price of XRP has repeatedly declined in the $2 zone.

Every major cyclical rally has stopped at this level, making it one of the most significant long-term resistance areas in XRP history.

On a yearly time frame, when the price consolidates below the resistance, the breakout trend becomes more intense.

The recent close above $2 is now showing long-term supply fatigue and could open avenues for higher price gains from the late 2018 all-time high of $3.84.

Data from Soso Value shows that over the past 7 days, XRP has recorded the second largest volume of inflows among US spot ETFs, with total inflows of $43.16 million, more than four times that of Solana.

ETF buying is now taking on circulating supply, with XRP price forecasts suggesting short-term resistance will come at $2.40-$2.55, the largest set of sell orders.

XRP Price Forecast: Weekly chart shows trend continuation setup

The weekly XRP/USDT chart shows that the market has moved from correction to trend continuation.

Price recently broke above a three-month downtrend, near the local high of $3.40 that held each rally.

That breakout represents the most important technical development because it shows that the sellers who controlled the momentum in Q4 2025 are losing their dominance.

Structurally, XRP has spent recent months creating a controlled return, not a breakout.

The price consistently respects the horizontal support zone around the mid-$1.80-$2.00 range, which acts as a demand floor while volatility is compressed.

The gap occurred above this base, indicating accumulation rather than panic selling.

The 9-week SMA, which now sits at $2.05, has flattened and is beginning to rally to the upside, reinforcing the notion that the downward momentum has largely weakened.

Momentum indicators support this change. The RSI is recovering from the low-40s and stabilizing rather than breaking apart in a depression, which is characteristic of the end of a correction phase.

In terms of levels, $3.00-$3.05 remains critical resistance. A clean weekly close above accelerates momentum, as the selloff declines above the level.

If that happens, the chart's proposed extension to $3.50 would be technically correct, especially if ETF-related flows or broader market strength re-enters the narrative.

Furthermore, the long-term forecast to reach $5.00 in H1 2026 is consistent with the rallying structure and the height of the previous consolidation range.

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