ETH Charts Point To 25% Rally, But Support May Occur First.
Ether (ETH) is trading near $3,300, and one future market trend suggests another 10% to 25% upward move. However, the market may see an initial liquidity-driven price rally before any sustained rally develops.
Main Receptors:
Ether's leverage ratio is close to 0.60, a level that has historically preceded rallies of 10% to 25% after short-term pullbacks.
ETH's SOPR remains below 1, indicating that the realized losses outweigh the gains despite the recent price gains.
Ether superstructure is used up after a short cleaning
Crypto analyst Pelin Ai has highlighted a recurring structure in Ether's dynamics. When the Leverage Ratio rises faster than the price on Binance, it leads to short-term VCs dumping excessive long positions, followed by strong reversals.
This pattern was seen several times in 2025, especially in February, April, September and November. A similar sequence occurred in October, when a sharp bullish trend began to drop before resuming.
Currently the Leverage Ratio is sitting near 0.60 which is relatively high. In particular, despite the recent price gains, the consumption is not decreasing, indicating a constant appetite. Retracements at these consumption levels are 10% to 25% ahead of rallies, indicating that Ether may be poised for significant upward movement after the last liquidation cleanup.
Meanwhile, Glassnode analyst Sean Rose noticed a difference in ETH holder behavior. Although Ether outperformed Bitcoin in January, ETH's cost-effectiveness ratio remains below 1, indicating that overall losses outweigh gains. This shows a weaker confidence among ETH placeholders compared to BTC participants.
Related: Short squeeze tops 500 cryptos as traders unwind bear bets
The data suggests that the ETH boom is overdue
Ether posted its highest daily close since November 12, 2025 at $3,324. A 25% rally from this would put ETH above $4,100, but a slight dip is more likely.
On the daily chart, Ether formed an order block between $3,050 and $3,170 during recent pressure. This zone coincides with a control point on the Visible Range Volume Profile (VRVP), an indicator that highlights the price level at which maximum trading volume has occurred since September 2025.
The price may return to this level because it represents the actual price area where buyers and sellers agreed on the price in the past.
Supporting this view, Hyblock data shows more than $500 million in long-term stocks between $3,040 and $3,100. Such a dense position increases the likelihood of a short-term sweep into this region, setting the stage for a strong continuation move later.
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