Q4 worst post 2018 $80k–$140k band
Crypto journalist
Anas Hasan
Crypto journalist
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The second-worst Q4 on record ended after the leading crypto asset ended the last quarter of 2025 with a -23% decline, a performance that saw Bitcoin fall 42% in a single quarter of 2018.
However, Bitcoin price forecast indicators in 2018 They suggest that 2026 could see BTC stabilize between the $80,000 floor, aiming to extend to $140,000 after a weak Q4 gain of more than 100%.
Analysts have created three scenarios for Bitcoin in 2026.
Analysts at Japan's XWIN Research note that Bitcoin has yet to enter a new bullish trend, as the market remains in a highly volatile environment, neither indecisive nor bullish.
The analyst lays out three possible scenarios for Bitcoin in 2026.
The first scenario, which holds the highest probability, suggests that if expectations of a price drop in 2026 continue, “Bitcoin could trade in a broad $80,000-$140,000 range, with $90,000-$120,000 as the core zone.”
The second scenario, with a medium probability, suggests that if recessionary fears intensify, the loss of output and ETF outflows could push Bitcoin below $80,000, potentially moving into the $50,000 range.
According to XWIN Research, the third scenario with the lowest probability suggests that if the Fed eases expectations early and ETF flows stabilize, Bitcoin could extend to $120,000-$170,000.
At present, regionally correlated structure remains the most plausible baseline for 2026, subject to re-evaluation as structural data evolves.
This gap between the current $80,000 and $120,000 levels is highly plausible in 2026, which is in line with current sentiment from traders on the Calci forecast market, who are already predicting that Bitcoin will hit a high of $121,000 this year.
Bitcoin Price Forecast: Weekly chart shows a healthy mid-cycle correction
The weekly Bitcoin chart shows a mature bull market that has entered a healthy correction phase rather than a structural crash.
Following a deep 77% bear-market crash in 2023, Bitcoin rallied strongly through 2024 and into 2025, finally reaching the $120,000-$125,000 range.
The next nearly 37% mirrors past mid-cycle corrections and respects high-term support up to this point.
On the downside, the most critical level is the $67,000-$70,000 zone, which previously served as a major consolidation base and breakout zone.
If this support holds at the weekly close, the long-term bullish structure remains intact.
On the upside, the $105,000 region represents key resistance that Bitcoin needs to bounce back to signal a resumption of the bull trend.
A critical weekly close above $105,000 would pave the way for a broad recovery towards $121,000 and a new high in 2026.
Until that retracement request comes, Bitcoin may continue to consolidate between $70,000 support and $105,000 resistance, until the higher timeframe biased macro support zone disappears.
Bitcoin Hyper to 2026 Growth Raises $30M
Bitcoin is not the only asset to expect to perform well in 2026.
Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is a project focused on developing the first practical Layer 2 solution for Bitcoin, Solana-based technology to provide speed and scalability while maintaining Bitcoin's security model.
The project has now raised $30 million to enable developers to launch Bitcoin-native decentralized applications.
This gives BTC holders new opportunities to deploy their assets more efficiently, using on-chain tools designed specifically for the Bitcoin ecosystem.
As DeFi wallets and exchanges integrate this scaling solution, demand for $HYPER is expected to increase rapidly.
To get $HYPER before the next price increase, visit the official Bitcoin Hyper website and connect the wallet of your choice (eg Best Wallet).
You can exchange USDT or SOL at the current price of $0.013515 at the pre-sale price or use a bank card to buy directly.
Visit the official Bitcoin Hyper website here
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